Tonight has a lot of close games, however there are also over-valued games in the mix.
The best value bet I can find tonight is in the NRL. The Melbourne Storm($2.42) travel to take on Manly($1.57) in a top of the table clash. Starting 5 pm WST live on fox.
The reason this game has value is that these two teams always have close matches, sportingbet have predicted Manly by 4 points, a single unconverted try.
Melbourne are on top of the NRL ladder with 19-3 compared to Manly's 2nd placed 17-5. Manly also just narrowly escaped a shock loss to parramatta (the bottom placed team with only 5 wins this season) in round 23.
The reason the bookmakers have Manly at such a short price is that they are playing to be unbeaten at home for the entire season, but I personally think that justs adds pressure to the side.
Its anyones game, but I think Melbourne will need to score the first try to win it.
Sportingbet.com have the best odds at 2.42, TAB has Melbourne at 2.25.
Best bet: Melbourne Storm
Another bet worth taking a look at is Collingwood and Fremantle.Starts 6.40 WST.
Any Fremantle supporter remembers that horrible day a few seasons back where Freo failed to kick a single goal, I think this might be one of those days. With outs such as Pavlich, Grover, Mundy, Ballantyne and Mcphee, the team is in huge trouble. Considering with an even better Fremantle team last week they went down to the Roos by 98 points, imagine what Collingwood(with the in's they have) will do to this weeks team..
Some may argue that being at Paterson's will help Fremantle, but realistically, a bigger ground will only benefit the fitter, faster and stronger team on any day.
Best Bet: Collingwood -73.5 ($2.00)
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