NBA best of the day 30/4/15

The first rounds of the playoffs are getting into the deep end of the series and the Clippers travel San Antonio for a must win game 6.

This series has been somewhat hard to bet on.. The Clippers starting looking good taking out the Spurs on their home court by 9 points, but then lost their following home game. One thing that has been a more reliable trend is the scoring. The last three games have gone to 219, 218 and 219 points.

Expecting this one to follow high scoring trend.

PICK: Clippers/Spurs OVER 206 Points

MLB best of the day 28/4/15

I really like the look of the Reds getting it done over the Brewers today. The Brewers sport a horrible record or 4-16 and along with that record have lost most of their games at home. The Reds are a little underrated at the moment off the back of uncharacteristic mistakes and think they deserve more credit than they get.

For added value I'm happy to widen the spread.





PICK: Cincinatti Reds 1.5 @ 2.29

MLB best bet 26/4/15

Going for some good value here.

The Mets are $2.32 to beat the Yankees today in what looks a coin toss of a game. I really think the Mets are the better team and so far are proving it with their 14-4 record. Coming up against the 10-8 Yankees, you have to love getting more that 2 to 1 in this one.

PICK: NY Mets @ 2.32

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NBA Best 26.4.15

Best bet of the day comes from the NBA today..

The Celtics have been dominated by the Cavs in their series so far and today Cavs step on the court trying to complete the sweep.

At +7.5 points, I'm happy to take the Celtics here. The home team added with the pressure to keep their season going, the Celtics are going to be tenacious. We saw the impact this 3-0 situation carries last night when the Bucks beat the Bulls. Celtics might even win it outright at $3.70

PICK: Celtics +7.5 @ 1.95

NRL Best Bet 25/4/15

The South Sydney Rabbitohs are struggling without Adam Reynolds. They've won 1 of their last 4 without managing any real defensive potency.

Canberra seem to be traveling well at the moment and you can't deny the message they're sending the league.

A 10.5 head start is an absolute gift and whether the Rabbits win or not I can't seem them generating enough offense to blow out the Raiders.

PICK: Canberra Raiders +10.5 @ 1.92

AFL Best Bet Saturday

Jumping on the Anzac clash today in a wet one.

Last nights game saw similar conditions and rain kept the total low as suspected.

Going to jump on that again in this one.  As all ANZAC days go, the ball will be hotly contested. Added the rain, there shouldn't be more that 167 points..

PICK: ESSvCOLL Under 197 @ 1.91

NBA Best Bet Of The Day 23/4/15

Tonight the venues change and 3 win-less teams get their chance to snatch a home court win.

For the Pelicans, they come up against a side that finished the regular season 67-15. The Warriors are a team that can play anywhere and I don't see the home court being enough to get within 5 of Golden State.During the season, Golden State shot an average 46% away from home and are overall rated the best traveling team statistically in the NBA.

Everyone seems to be getting ahead of themselves when talking about the Pelicans. They have been competitive, but that was when Golden State were just protecting and cruising to the win they knew they would get. Away from home they know they need to earn it, and that will be the catalyst that fires this team up!

 They are leaps and bounds a better team, take the away cover..

PICK: Golden State -4.5 @ 1.93

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NBA Double - Best Bet 22/4/15

Nets @ Hawks

We're going to see the Hawks tighten the screws just a little more in this game and jump into a 2-0 series lead against a Nets team I still don't really believe deserve a play-off spot. The line in this one is probably about right but we can grab a steal on the under/over.

UNDER has been the trend in 4 of Brooklyns last 5
UNDER has also been the trend in 5 of the last 7 Atlanta home games.

While betting can be influenced by spirit, it is ultimately a science and the numbers don't lie.

I can't see these two teams averaging over 50 points a quarter in this one...

PICK: HAWKS/NETS Under 202.5 @ 1.93


Clippers v Spurs

Going to go ahead and jump on another stubborn spread by the bookies as it served us well last time.

The beauty of the playoffs is that game 1 works as a bible when considering betting on game 2. In this case the Spurs visit the Clippers again, and like Sunday, the line is -1.5. However, the Clippers rolled the Spurs and San Antonio had no answer. The absence of Thiago Splitter really hurt their offensive structure and he won't be featuring in this one either.

With the Clippers at home needing to soak up the advantage, look for this game to follow the trend..

PICK: Los Angeles Clippers -1.5 @ 2.00

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NBA Player Special Cavs v Celtics 21/4/15

In addition to the best NBA bet of the day, it's worth checking out this player special.

Kyrie Irving is firing on all cylinders at the moment and I can see another big game from him tonight. Coming off the back of a 30 point game where Kyrie shot 21 times and a few at the line, it's obvious hes not low on confidence. He wants the ball and he's not scared to shoot it...

PICK: Kyrie Irving Over 23.5 points @ 1.95

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MLB Best Bet 21/4/15

Houston Astros v Seattle Mariners



Huge pitching mismatch in this one that makes it very appealing for bettors.

Houston start this one as the underdog at 1.97 and with Collin McHugh pitching, I'll happily take those odds.

McHugh is 7-0 from his last 7 starts and owns a small 1.54 ERA from his 2 starts this season. His opposing pitcher will be Taijuan Walker, who is 1-5 in his last 6 and.... wait for it..... has a 17.21 ERA (Thanks to allowing 15 runs in 7 innings last start.)


Unless something changes overnight, how could you have the Astros star pitcher an underdog against Walker. Take the over quoted price on this and run...


PICK: Houston Astros @ 1.97

NBA Best Bet 21/4/15

 Game 2 in this series and the high scoring trend should continue.

Game 1 saw the total reach 226 points.

The shooting was at 44% for both teams.

Houston had 45 free throw attempts! But only scored 32 of them.

The mavericks had 99 field goal attempts!

With the intensely fasted paced play of both teams combined with the difficulty of stopping the depth of both sides, this one should find its way over the total again.

The Mavericks are being caught out with the conundrum of whether to stop Harden on the outside or protect the paint from the Dwight.

For Houston, there's Dirk.

PICK: Rockets/Mavs Total Over 215 @ 1.93

NBA - Tuesday Double Best 20/4/15

 Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls -

Loving the fact that this line hasn't changed since game 1. Same handicap, but armed with more knowledge. Didn't the handicappers learn anything from game 1? The Bulls are playing great basketball and are getting the job done on both ends of the court. On top, the Bulls are making a habit of covering the line following a win this season. After watching game 1 how could you expect the outcome to be any different? Keen to let it ride on the Bulls and cash in on the Bookies stubborn spread. On Saturday Butler and Rose looked a million bucks(mind the pun).

PICK: Chicago Bulls -7.5 @ 1.95

Pelicans @ Golden State


The only reason the Pelicans got anywhere close to Golden State in game 1 is because the Warriors jumped into cruise control. Everyone is talking about Anthony Davis being so good he could beat the Warriors himself on his day and how epic his fourth quarter was. In reality, it was pretty clear to see the Warriors lost interest around the time they hit a 25 point lead. Their shooting dropped from over 60% to about 30% and the defense walked back from those rebounds. Klay Thompson missed both free throws at one point!

Lets not confuse the quality of the New Orleans Pelicans against a cruising, "already won the game" Golden State.

In respect to the possibility of the same mentality, get on the half time line and bet on Golden State when they're at their best.


PICK: Golden State Half-time -7.5 @ 1.91

MLB Best Bet 21/04/15

Lets be honest, it should be very rare that the Milwaukee Brewers start as a favorite.. With only two wins this season you'd be crazy to take them at short odds. They face the Cincinnati Reds today. The Reds team are terribly underrated in my opinion. Their record doesn't reflect how good they've been considering a couple of tough losses by only one or two runs. Getting 2.07 is an absolute gift in this one. Obviously, baseball is a funny game, but when you're getting over 2:1 in a 2 horse race and your horse is clearly the better runner. How couldn't you? It's like playing blackjack when you've already got an Ace as your first card..

PICK: Cincinnati Reds @ 2.07

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Monday's Best - NRL 20/4/15

South Sydney continue this week without Adam Reynolds. His absence cost the Rabbits last week as they blew a half time lead to lose by 18 points. The longer break with Monday fixture allows the Souths to rethink their game-plan and adapt from that learning curve. Cronulla have been impressive of late, but I think today we will see that come to an end and the Souths get back on track. G.I will be keen to run the pill and the absent Fifita bros will leave some headaches for the Sharks. I'm liking the huge price of 3.10 for the Rabbits to get up in a competitive one..

PICK: South Sydney 1-12 @ 3.10

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AFL Best Bet Sunday 18/04/15

The bookies are offering a whopping 54 point head start for the Bulldogs against Hawthorn today.


Hawthorn enter this one off the back of a substandard performance that saw them lose to the Bombers last week. The Hawks failed to find the midfield to forward transition in round 2 but will hope to correct that with the return of Sam Mitchell and Gibbo from injury.

In contrast, the Bulldogs have got off to a flyer at 2-0. Including the defeat of a Richmond side that were impressive yesterday. The successful start to the season can mostly be credited to the new fast paced, attacking style of football played by the Bulldogs under coach Luke Beveridge.

Yes, this one is in Launceston and that always spells trouble, but I'm keen on the Dogs keeping this one close..

PICK: Western Bulldogs +54 points @ 1.93

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EPL Saturday Night 18/04/15

Manchester United look a great bet tonight. Although they play away at the Bridge, they've won 4 on the trot and look very hungry to take on a slumping Chelsea. Chelsea have been out of form since their Champions League campaign and not playing the same football we have been used to. Without Diego Costa to score goals, options will be tough for Chelsea. In contrast, United scored 4 against City last week. 1.95 is a nice price for the form Devils win or draw! If the Red Devils score first, you can be pretty comfortable that Chelsea won't manage two unanswered...

PICK: MAN U - WIN OR DRAW @ 1.95

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AFL SATURDAY BEST 18/4/15

Looking at the AFL for today's best..

I'm feeling very confident taking the UNDER total match points between Melbourne and Adelaide.

With rain forecast for the match and high wind you can expect this one to be a scrappy fixture. Wet footy is always going to be low scoring, added with the low potency of the Melbourne attack, UNDER 170.5 points looks an absolute gem today.



PICK: Under 170.5 @ 1.91



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MLB 17/4/15

Looks like the night for the Cleveland Indians against the Twins tonight!

Corey Kluber should step up and stop the run of shaky pitching shown by the Tribe in this one.

As for the Twins, they'll be starting Mike Pelfrey, a pitcher you definitely can't trust to keep the bases empty.

Expect an aggressive batting performance from the Indians..


PICK: Cleveland Indians -1.5 @ 2.05
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NBA - Bulls at Nets 13/04/15

Bookies have this one as a toss up.

The Chicago Bulls are finding their feet again after the return of Derrick Rose. Rose has been declared fit to play full minutes and is ready to unleash.

Last week, the Nets were absolutely rolling as they pushed for a play-off spot in the East.
But, last night the Nets were utterly woeful and failed to operate a decent offensive effort against the very mediocre Bucks.

Nets coming off a back to back against the rested Bulls, take the insignificant 1 point handicap.

PICK : Chicago Bulls -1 @ 1.93

MLB 13/4/15

The Giants have started this season with huge expectations. Yet, last seasons champions haven't shown the same dominance we've been used to. The giants are struggling for runs and San Diego seem to be lapping up the home field advantage. Off the back of a 10-2 win yesterday, I'm confident to keep the ball rolling and back the Padres in this one.

PICK : San Diego Padres @ 1.70

Sunday - Chinese Grand Prix 12/4/15

I'm sensing Lewis Hamilton gets picked off today starting as a $1.30 favorite.

Not crazy enough to tip against a Mercedes vehicle, but Nico Rosberg has been almost as quick as Lewi lately and here is his best window to dispute the title of number 1 Mercedes driver.

Of course it's hard to fault the Brit, but ill take long odds on Nico to pull it out in what should be a duel!

Pick : Nico Rosberg - Race Winner @ 4.30

MLB 12/4/15

Looking at the MLB for the best of today!

Keen to keep riding the red hot form of the Detroit Tigers and even take some runs off them for added value.




The Tigers offense seeing them like beach balls at the moment. Along with David Price keeping the runs stingy against the Indians, expect a nice cover against the handicap and the Tiges to move to 5-0.

Pick : Detroit Tigers -1.5 @ 2.55

The Big Return! 11/04/2015

Absolutely loving the look of the best bet today, getting the blog up and running on a winner!

Most try conversions - Parramatta Eels v Gold Coast Titans @ 1.85

Lets point out the only reasons you need to back this one.

The Titans have the #1 most conceded points this season.
The Titans have the #2 least "points for" this season.

They don't score, and they don't keep them out.

Parramatta cruises to win, scores more tries, scores more conversions.

Market is available on most bookmakers. TomWaterhouse, WilliamHill and Centrebet have it in the "other markets" section of the match page.