Today's best bet is another roughie at $2.30.
This game will be close as the Phillipines come in as favourites, however Japan has every capability of winning this one.
Both teams played yesteday, the Phillipines just edged out Jordan by 8 points and Japan smashed the UAE by 40. Coming in to this match Japan are 3-0 so far to the Phillipines 2-1, although the 1 loss comes from their match with the unbeatable China which Japan are yet to face.
The Phillipines are ranked the #53 team in the world to Japan at #33, so history does argue that Japan are the better of the two. Another positive sign is that Sportingbet are dropping Japan from 2.30 to 1.87 given a measly 3 points. Its very rare to see a team drop 40 cents for a 3 point advantage.
This one is anyones, but at 2.30 Japan is great value.
Off the Record:
I found a little system in today's rugby.
You can grab Russia given 22.5 points at 1.92, and then at the same time you can get the game to be decided in over 44.5 points(also at 1.92). With these bets in place the only way you can really lose is if Italy win between 23 and 44 to nil. If Russia even score a single try then both of your bets shorten, one single 7 pointer to Russia then means that you now have Russia given 29.5 points or the game to be over 37.5 points.
With these mathmatics, your basically getting 2.80 for Russia to score a try. However if Russia score and the game still isnt over 44.5 points, the likelihood is that Italy wont be 22.5 in front. Or if Italy DOES beat the line the game should be over 44.5 and you'll get your money back.
Logically, there is about a 7 point zone where you lose both bets. However if the game stays under, youll win the line(Money Back) but if it goes over, Italy will have been 22.5 infront(money back) or its over and and within the line(2.84).
Simply, its like a 1/5 chance of loss, a 2/5 of money back and a 2/5 of win.
Russia scores more than 7 points you can almost guarantee your money back.
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